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Wednesday, June 6, 2018

The Libertarian Challenge in WA State

Top 6 Party Prefers declared during filing week by Count (N):

                            PartyName   N
 1:        (Prefers Democratic Party) 168
 2:        (Prefers Republican Party) 144
 3:                                    36
 4:       (Prefers Independent Party)  19
 5:      (States No Party Preference)  14
 6:       (Prefers Libertarian Party)  12
...
See table at bottom for full list.

I dug into the campaign contributions and expenditures this last weekend and found myself captivated the "strength" of the Libertarian movement nationwide and in WA State. Matthew Dubin has multiple $2K donations from out of state 'libertarian supporters'. As of last Friday, he is nearly leading the campaign funding race in LD 36th outspending his opponent incumbent Noel Frame.

[36th District Aggregate Donations as of June 1st]
                 Office       Party LD            Filer  Contrib
1:        STATE SENATOR    DEMOCRAT 36 CARLYLE REUVEN M 36450.00
2: STATE REPRESENTATIVE LIBERTARIAN 36    DUBIN MATTHEW 37318.57
3: STATE REPRESENTATIVE    DEMOCRAT 36     FRAME NOEL C 26117.70
4: STATE REPRESENTATIVE    DEMOCRAT 36  TARLETON GAEL D 37451.00

According to the PDC representative: "In Washington state, pursuant to RCW 29A.52.112, there is a primary for partisan elections even if only one or two candidates file for office. So legislative candidates can raise double the contribution limit no matter who files during filing week."

The individual contribution limit is technically $1K/election and each LD has two mandated elections (primary, general), thus any candidate can receive $2K from any one individual this year. The columnar text  below will need a widescreen (desktop) to display.  Contribution data as of June 1, 2018.

There are 12 Libertarians in the Legislative District Races. LD 36 has 3. All but four of WA libertarian candidates (Dubin, Acosta, Darnell, Deily) are apparently choosing the 'mini-reporting' option (e.g. under $5K total donations with no one donation over $500). 



 Party Preferred Libertarians declared during filing week:
                       RaceName     RaceJurisdictionName            BallotName
 1:                U.S. Senator            United States             Mike Luke
 2:               State Senator   Legislative District 8           Ryan Cooper
 3:               State Senator  Legislative District 44          Jeremy Fitch
 4: State Representative Pos. 1  Legislative District 41       Nathaniel Deily
 5:               State Senator  Legislative District 36        Bryan Simonson
 6: State Representative Pos. 2  Legislative District 36            Matt Dubin
 7: State Representative Pos. 1  Legislative District 36 Sydney Gillman Wissel
 8:               State Senator  Legislative District 33      Charles Schaefer
 9: State Representative Pos. 2  Legislative District 22          Allen Acosta
10: State Representative Pos. 2   Legislative District 1          Matt Seymour
11:         U.S. Representative Congressional District 8  Richard Travis Reyes
12:         U.S. Representative Congressional District 2            Brian Luke

Aggregated Donations for Libertarians as of June 01, 2018:
                        Filer  Contrib
 1:            DUBIN MATTHEW 37318.57
 2:           ACOSTA ALLEN D  2424.14
 3: DARNELL LINDA (MICHELLE)   600.00
 4:          DEILY NATHANIEL   100.00

  Top 15 Matthew Dubin (Aggregated) Donations By Donor:

                    contributor_name   contributor_city contributor_state     Sum
 1:                    DUBIN MATTHEW                                      5000.00
 2:                     SARGENT RYAN           CARLSBAD                CA 2000.00
 3:                    SARGENT ERIKA           CARLSBAD                CA 2000.00
 4:                   SIMONSON BRYAN            SEATTLE                WA 2000.00
 5:                          LE NGAN          LAS VEGAS                NV 2000.00
 6:                        PAGE JOHN       SUNSET HILLS                MO 2000.00
 7:                       PAGE TONYA       SUNSET HILLS                MO 2000.00
 8:                   DUBIN PATRICIA         LAKE WORTH                FL 2000.00
 9:                   ASCHMANN DAVID           DUNWOODY                GA 1250.00
10:                    DUBIN MATTHEW            SEATTLE                WA 1199.67
11:                    COURT LINDSAY            SEATTLE                WA 1050.00
12:                 HARDISON KENNETH NORTH MYRTLE BEACH                SC 1000.00
13:                    JOHNSON DAVID           KIRKLAND                WA  700.00
14:              JACKMAN CHRISTOPHER            SEATTLE                WA  600.00
15:                       EZTV SPOTS               KENT                WA  600.00
....

Top 15 Noel Frame (Aggregated) Donations By Donor:


                            contributor_name contributor_city contributor_state    Sum
 1:                   MISCELLANEOUS RECEIPTS                                    2298.5
 2:        CAMPAIGN FOR TRIBAL SELF-RELIANCE          OLYMPIA                WA 1000.0
 3:            WASHINGTON BEVERAGE ASSOC PAC          OLYMPIA                WA 1000.0
 4:                 CHILDREN'S CAMPAIGN FUND          SEATTLE                WA 1000.0
 5:                  SEIU HEALTHCARE 1199 NW           RENTON                WA 1000.0
 6:                      SMALL CONTRIBUTIONS                                     588.2
 7:                              RAUSCH TALI          SEATTLE                WA  500.0
 8:                      JUSTICE FOR ALL PAC          OLYMPIA                WA  500.0
 9:                              UFCW 21 PAC          SEATTLE                WA  500.0
10:               DELTA DENTAL OF WASHINGTON          SEATTLE                WA  500.0
11: WASHINGTON BEER   WINE DISTRIBUTORS ASSO          OLYMPIA                WA  500.0
12:                WA STATE AUTO DEALERS PAC           RENTON                WA  500.0
13: UNITED ASSOCIATION OF THE PLUMBING AND P           RENTON                WA  500.0
14:                   PUGET SOUND PILOTS PAC          SEATTLE                WA  500.0
15:  WASHINGTON TEAMSTERS LEGISLATIVE LEAGUE          TUKWILA                WA  500.0
...

All Party Prefers (by spelling) declared during filing week by Count (N):


                            PartyName   N
 1:        (Prefers Democratic Party) 168
 2:        (Prefers Republican Party) 144
 3:                                    36
 4:       (Prefers Independent Party)  19
 5:      (States No Party Preference)  14
 6:       (Prefers Libertarian Party)  12
 7:               (Prefers GOP Party)   8
 8:          (Prefers Democrat Party)   3
 9:   (Prefers Indep. Centrist Party)   2
10:             (Prefers Green Party)   2
11:   (Prefers Ind. Republican Party)   2
12: (Prefers Freedom Socialist Party)   1
13:  (Prefers The Human Rights Party)   1
14:            (Prefers G.O.P. Party)   1
15:       (Prefers Democratic  Party)   1
16:       (Prefers People Over Party)   1
17:    (Prefers Trump Populist Party)   1
18:          (Prefers Centrist Party)   1
19:    (Prefers Independent To Party)   1
20:    (Prefers StandupAmerica Party)   1
21:      (Prefers Moderate GOP Party)   1
22:              (Prefers FDFR Party)   1
23:    (Prefers The Republican Party)   1
24:  (Prefers Ind. Progressive Party)   1
25:       (Prefers Progressive Party)   1
26:     (Prefers Neither Major Party)   1
27:  (Prefers Independent)*(No Party)   1

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