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Friday, November 6, 2009

With 57,275 votes counted...by leader...by participation

All of the county wide races took a decided turn toward conservative voting in this fourth round of ballot counting. Both 1033 (NO) and Initiative 71 (Yes) had their leads shrink for the first time.  McShane, who had increased his lead in the first two rounds of ballot counting, has been overcome by Kershner.  The number of possible votes for county wide races divided by the number of votes actually cast for county wide races continues to shrink with each round of ballot counts.  Another interesting trend is that the spread in "fall off" percentage between the race that gathers the most %Total Registered Voters (71 for all four rounds of ballot counting) and the race the gathers the least %Total Registered Voters (Port 2 for all four rounds of ballot counting) widens sequentially for each round of ballot counts. The breadth of the "fall off" increases with every successive round of ballot counting.

By leader:


Race
% of Total Reg.
Lead 4 Count
Leader
1033
47.84%
10.74%
No
Port 2
40.72%
8.82%
McCauley
71
48.50%
7.14%
Yes
Co. Cncl At-Large
45.67%
6.98%
Knutzen
Port 1
42.44%
4.84%
Walker
Co. Cncl 2A
45.37%
4.38%
Mann
Co. Cncl 3A
44.89%
1.90%
Weimer
Co. Cncl 1A
45.08%
0.44%
Kershner

By participation:

71
48.50%
7.14%
Yes
1033
47.84%
10.74%
No
Co. Cncl At-Large
45.67%
6.98%
Knutzen
Co. Cncl 2A
45.37%
4.38%
Mann
Co. Cncl 1A
45.08%
0.44%
Kershner
Co. Cncl 3A
44.89%
1.90%
Weimer
Port 1
42.44%
4.84%
Walker
Port 2
40.72%
8.82%
McCauley

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