Some GE 2019 Analysis: Historical Summary and some Demographics

At over 2M votes, GE2019 will be the largest odd year volume turnout in recent WA history.  I will wait for the final results to compare turnout percentages. Here is where we stand as of the Monday (11/11) after election week:

Some projected turnout for GE 2019 as of 11/11/2019  state matchback:

          Registered  Voted   Turnout  Current_Date
Total 4,503,766 1,927,555 42.8% 11/11/2019

Projected  Turnout PCT  ==
(1,927,555 + 82,396) / 4,503,766 = 44.6%  with 82,396 (to be counted as of 11/11)

Projected Returns  ==
1,927.555 + 82,396 = 2,009,951

Historical odd year (local election) turnouts:

         Registered  Voted  Turnout  Final_Date
Total 4,265,433 1,582,481 37.1% 11/28/2017
Total 3,974,947 1,528,272 38.45% 11/30/2015
Total 3,914,786 1,772,290 45.27% 11/26/2013
Total 3,658,413 1,936,950 52.95% 12/06/2011
Total 3,583,278 1,823,364 50.89% 11/24/2009

Age and Gender Turnout By Day

Data tables are used to create the two  charts of daily election totals far below. The charts below show a late surge in the votes that can be described as both female and GenX/Millennial.  They also show almost unrelenting voting for the entire election by those over 60. Data is from the 11/08/2019 state matchback data. Total ballots received  by three charted age groups until 11/08/2019:

     AgeGroup Count.11.08.2019
1:   GTREQ_60           980003 # >= 60
2: BTWN_40_60           629195 # > 40 & < 60
3:    LTEQ_40           433413 # >= 40

Note that the three groups are relatively equal in registered voters (~1.6M, ~ 1.4M, ~ 1.5M). But elections always favor those who vote the most. In WA, those over 60 vote like their lives depended upon it.  

     AgeGroup Count.11.08.2019 Registered.10.01.2019 TurnoutPCT
1:    LTEQ_40           433413               1604098       27.0
2: BTWN_40_60           629195               1388021       45.3
3:   GTREQ_60           980003               1487250       65.9

The second table is (total) ballots received by gender. Only (F)emale and (M)ale columns are used in the chart. To increase visual clarity,  I have shortened the election period to the start of high volume days and eliminated the minimal weekend ballot counts:

    ReceivedDate          F      M  O    U
 1:   2019-10-21  59  19598  24061  1  136
 2:   2019-10-22  95  38510  42838  2  201
 3:   2019-10-23 111  39378  40758  3  184
 4:   2019-10-24  87  34404  34478  2  154
 5:   2019-10-25  78  30429  29906  1  139
 6:   2019-10-28 174  53301  51039  1  296
 7:   2019-10-29 139  50166  45885  0  206
 8:   2019-10-30 119  40389  36671  1  175
 9:   2019-10-31 111  36912  33417  1  183
10:   2019-11-01 151  42105  38300  1  202
11:   2019-11-04 403 113169 102642  5  560
12:   2019-11-05 700 217789 196532 20 1108
13:   2019-11-06 893 230947 205777 20  962
14:   2019-11-07 390  88090  79187  5  601
15:   2019-11-08  96  15709  14189  5  110

Click to enlarge the charts: