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Sunday, November 14, 2010

Whatcom County at 86,758 votes counted: Spoiled Ballots, Recounts, and Precinct Analysis


Not quite the end yet...

Certification Date:
11/23/2010
Number of Precincts:
120
Number of Registered Voters:
116576
Total Ballots Cast:
86758
Ballots Left to Count:
150
Next Ballot Count On:
Nov 17 2010 5:00PM
Last Tabulated:
Nov 12 2010 6:13PM
Voter Turnout:
74.42%


Here is a rough summary of the election week to come:

(1) Contrary to public belief, all of the ballots are not in.  The Cascadia Weekly is reporting that there are over 4000 "Spoiled Ballots" some of which may to be discarded from the count. (Please see comment from Cascadia below.)
(2) Some party members are urging their faithful to check the their ballot status at:
http://www.co.whatcom.wa.us/auditor/elections/ballot_status/index.jsp.
There you will get a prompt that should give you a disposition of your ballot. If you inadvertently "spoiled your ballot" or it got "lost or spoiled in the mail", there may be a path that could help you re-make that ballot. The election desk at the Whatcom County Courthouse can help you with that. Make sure to check this week.
(3) It is likely that Linville and Buys will have some type of recount either by hand or machine after 11/23/2010. I've looked at the recount laws and my eyes have glossed over....
(4) The August 18th voter database I have shows 114,313 registered voters. Looks like Whatcom County picked up 2,263 new registrants in those two and one half months for a new total of 116,576
(5) Whatcom County has the highest turnout among the the top ten counties for ballots counted in WA State, although Vote By Mail turnouts are high in all WA counties. But clearly, having a 74.42% turnout gave us weight in this election beyond our meager 200,000 citizens. This was clearly felt in the election of both Patty Murray and Rick Larsen. Go Whatcom County!:

County Registered Voters Total Ballots
Counted
To Date
Voter Turnout % Last Updated Date/Time Next Ballot Count Date/Time Estimated Ballots
On Hand
To Be Processed
Total 3601152 2473312 68.68% 11/12
6:13 PM

91878
King 1069791 721223 67.42% 11/12
4:20 PM
11/15
4:30 PM
50000
Pierce 410081 271689 66.25% 11/12
4:54 PM
11/15
5:00 PM
350
Snohomish 377739 255888 67.74% 11/12
4:20 PM
11/15
5:00 PM
14000
Spokane 261250 174081 66.63% 11/12
5:37 PM
11/16
6:00 PM
12000
Clark 219616 148486 67.61% 11/10
2:29 PM
11/16
5:00 PM
200
Thurston 149024 102186 68.57% 11/10
4:37 PM
11/17
6:00 PM
4500
Kitsap 143796 98941 68.81% 11/10
5:12 PM
11/16
5:00 PM
6500
Whatcom 116576 86758 74.42% 11/12
6:13 PM
11/17
5:00 PM
150
Benton 88498 63828 72.12% 11/12
10:51 AM
11/15
4:30 PM
250
Yakima 99568 62778 63.05% 11/12
4:42 PM
11/15
5:00 PM
100



(6) Some precinct analysis will be forthcoming.  You can get precinct results for every election from
http://wei.secstate.wa.gov/whatcom/CurrentElection/ElectionResults/Pages/ElectionResults.aspx
Here's an example of some I started last week that shows that the top ten precincts with the most voter turn out created an almost identical result for Larsen/Koster as for Linville/Buys. After that, things change:











1 comment:

Cascadia said...

I've been enjoying your analysis. BTW, when we put the estimated number of "spoiled" ballots in the Index, we didn't mean to imply these would be discarded, but that because of some reason they could not be machine counted. Probably in most cases because they were filled out using red ink or because the security envelope hadn't been signed. The number of ultimately unusable ballots will be far smaller.