Note: Fixed Vermont totals - RMF 1:09 PM 3/2/2016
Super Tuesday Data. For these 12 states, some data is incomplete or incomparable for various reasons: Dem caucus held later for AK, Republican Caucus will not be held at all for CO, all precincts were not 100% reporting as of this morning, MN,CO,AK held caucuses, not primaries etc. But here are some interesting factoids:
- 2.7M more votes for Republicans than Democrats in these states primaries/caucuses as opposed to the 1.9M for Romney than Obama in GE2012
- These 12 primaries/caucuses generated (5.9M(D) + 8.5M(R)) = 14.5M votes. In the 2012GE these same states generated 32M votes, 14.7M for Obama alone.
- Only MA,MN (Caucus),VT had more Democrats vote than Republicans
- Reputedly, AR had more Republicans vote than Democrats for the first time since the Reconstruction
- The states here showing some "swing" potential are Virginia,Oklahoma,Colorado. Fundamentally a (complicated) southern state, Virginia actually went to Obama in 2012 as did Florida.Oklahoma went Republican in 2012, Colorado went Democrat. Both came out for Bernie Saunders in this primary.
Data from:
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/showelection.php?year=2012
http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/mar/01/super-tuesday-trump-clinton-sanders-cruz-rubio
Click to enlarge data snapshot and charts. R code here:
No comments:
Post a Comment