Primary 2018 Returns

Ballot Return Statistics

This is probably the last Ballot Status Report. Two were filed for 8/6 and 8/7. I used the PM filing for both days. Although the turnout volume will grow until certification, those numbers will be reflected in election results due tonight August 7, 2018 at 8PM.  August 7, 2018 primary results can be found here: http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20180807/Turnout.html. As a note, my projections are simply based upon applying the 2016 CT_pct below to each county. Actual results might vary widely from such projections. -RMF 6:56 PM 8/7/2018

Ballot Status Report: 08/07/2018 @ 4:00 PM

County  Voters   Returned   Percentage 
STATE 4284274  1149157     26.80%

from https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/research/ballot-return-statistics.aspx

Projections state wide by county where CT_pct = Clinton+Stein / ((Clinton+Stein) + (Trump + Johnson)):

       sumD     sumR
     642488   506668

Counties with over 50K Voters ranked by percentage turnout:

      County  Voters Returned Percentage   CT        P
 1:   CLALLAM   51426    19234     37.40% 47.3 red-blue
 2:   SPOKANE  304641   107727     35.40% 43.6      red
 3:    ISLAND   54633    18337     33.60% 51.2 blue-red
 4:   WHATCOM  139750    44999     32.20% 58.2     blue
 5:      KING 1283447   351465     27.40% 74.1     blue
 6:    SKAGIT   73928    19980     27.00% 49.8 red-blue
 7:    YAKIMA  115041    30983     26.90% 41.6      red
 8:    BENTON  106135    28574     26.90% 34.4      red
 9:   COWLITZ   62175    16730     26.90% 41.2      red
10:     CLARK  279284    74164     26.60% 48.4 red-blue
11: SNOHOMISH  457695   104949     22.90% 56.5     blue
12:  THURSTON  178165    38520     21.60% 56.4     blue
13:    KITSAP  167088    34905     20.90% 53.2 blue-red
14:    PIERCE  489972    91595     18.70% 51.7 blue-red

Historical 2018:

         date   sumD   sumR
 1: 07.24.2018  32122  26533
 2: 07.25.2018  84365  62969
 3: 07.26.2018 133703 104483
 4: 07.27.2018 176387 141775
 5: 07.30.2018 240030 184995
 6: 07.31.2018 281212 229165
 7: 08.01.2018 337891 273361
 8: 08.02.2018 377335 304898
 9: 08.03.2018 420525 338585
10: 08.06.2018 528183 422244
11: 08.07.2018 642489 506668