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Wednesday, July 31, 2019

WM MatchBack data from 07.31.2019

Hot take: With 21,506 Primary ballots ready for tabulation, we are seeing a high turnout of red, purple, and blue precincts.  200 series precincts (Bellingham) are generally under reporting.  Many red and purple county precincts are reporting high numbers of votes.

Below is a matchback report for 07.31.2019 for the Whatcom Primary. Far below find all Whatcom County precincts in numerical order with their 2018 Cantwell/Hutchison totals. The two immediate following tables give us precinct Top Performers and Least Performers to date. Get your Ballots in! And remember, this election is the start of SDR statewide ("Same Day Registration"). There are brand new laptops in the lobby of the Elections department in the County Courthouse ready to register you in person!  If you are already registered (please check) and need to change your address or need to change your registration in any way, please visit: https://voter.votewa.gov and Whatcom County Elections.   There is a "Ballot Status" section in https://voter.votewa.gov. There, you can check to see the status of your returned ballot. Remember both remote drop boxes and vote by mail can take some time to be received by Elections.  If your ballot is challenged and for all other concerns, please visit or call Whatcom County ElectionsPlease Vote!!

WA State MatchBack data from 07.30.2019

Below are WA county return information for 07.30.2019 [source]. Some smaller counties (AS, GA, SM, WK, WT) are not yet reporting. These totals will change daily. Totals as of 07.30.2019:

    CountyCode   Count     Accepted Received Rejected
    Total        4432473   445536   12876     9997

Statewide turnout is still an anemic 10% This statistic assumes all counties and precincts are active for this 2019 Primary election and some counties will only have a partial primary: 

       Statewide Turnout (Accepted/Count)
       (445536/4432473) * 100
        10.052

A quick look at the 10 counties with more than 100K registered status active voters shows Spokane and Whatcom outdistancing other counties in PCT_Accepted ballots. It also shows Benton county with a comparatively high percentage of rejected ballots: 



Column Totals represent:
Count    # 07.17.2017 Status Active Voters
Accepted # Ready for Tabulation (e.g. 'Turnout')
Received # On conveyor belt for Accepted/Rejected
Rejected # Challenged Ballots
PCT_Accepted=round(Accepted/Count,3) * 100 (e.g. Turnout PCT)
PCT_reject = round(Rejected/(Accepted+Received+Rejected),3)* 100)

See here for list of County Codes with map.

Tuesday, July 30, 2019

WA State MatchBack data from 07.29.2019

Beow are WA county return information for 07.29.2019 [source]. Some smaller counties (AS, GA, SM, WK, WT) are not yet reporting. These totals will change daily. Totals as of 07.29.2019:

   CountyCode   Count     Accepted  Received  Rejected
   Total        4432473   370349    24447     8572

Statewide turnout is still an anemic 8.35%.This statistic assumes all counties and precincts are active for this 2019 Primary election and some counties will only have a partial primary: 

       Statewide Turnout (Accepted/Count)
       (370349/4432473) * 100
       [1] 8.3554

A quick look at the 10 counties with more than 100K registered status active voters shows Spokane and Whatcom outdistancing other counties in PCT_Accepted ballots. It also shows Benton county with a comparatively high percentage of rejected ballots: 



Column Totals represent:
Count    # 07.17.2017 Status Active Voters
Accepted # Ready for Tabulation (e.g. 'Turnout')
Received # On conveyor belt for Accepted/Rejected
Rejected # Challenged Ballots
PCT_Accepted=round(Accepted/Count,3) * 100 (e.g. Turnout PCT)
PCT_reject = round(Rejected/(Accepted+Received+Rejected),3)* 100)

See here for list of County Codes with map.

Monday, July 29, 2019

WM MatchBack data from 07.29.2019

Hot takes: With 16,666 Primary ballots ready for tabulation, we are seeing a high turnout of red, purple, and blue precincts.  200 series precincts (Bellingham) are generally under reporting.  Many red and purple county precincts are reporting high numbers of votes. Today, Monday July 29th is the online registration address update deadline. 

Below is a quick and dirty matchback report for 07.29.2019 for the Whatcom Primary. Far below find all Whatcom County precincts in numerical order with their 2018 Cantwell/Hutchison totals. The two immediate following tables give us precinct Top Performers and Least Performers to date. Get your Ballots in! And remember, this election is the start of SDR statewide ("Same Day Registration"). There are brand new laptops in the lobby of the Elections department in the County Courthouse ready to register you in person!  If you are already registered (please check) and need to change your address or need to change your registration in any way, please visit: https://voter.votewa.gov . Today, Monday July 29th is the online registration address update deadline.  There is a "Ballot Status" section in https://voter.votewa.gov. There, you can check to see the status of your returned ballot. Remember both remote drop boxes and vote by mail can take some time to be received by Elections.  If your ballot is challenged and for all other concerns, please visit or call Whatcom County Elections. Please Vote!!

Sunday, July 28, 2019

WA State MatchBack data from 07.27.2019

Beow are WA county return information for 07.27.2019 [source]. Some smaller counties (AS, GA, SM, WK) are not yet reporting. These totals will change daily. This statistic assumes all counties and precincts are active for this 2019 Primary election and some counties will only have a partial primary. Totals as of 07.27.2019:

   CountyCode   Count   Accepted Received Rejected
   Total        4432473 302602   6972     6536


Column Totals represent:
Count    # 07.17.2017 Status Active Voters
Accepted # Ready for Tabulation (e.g. 'Turnout')
Received # On conveyor belt for Accepted/Rejected
Rejected # Challenged Ballots
PCT_Accepted=round(Accepted/Count,3) * 100 (e.g. Turnout PCT)
PCT_reject = round(Rejected/(Accepted+Received+Rejected),3)* 100)

See here for list of County Codes with map.

Friday, July 26, 2019

WM MatchBacks for 07.26.2019

Hot takes: With 13,176 Primary ballots ready for tabulation, there are more 600 series (Lynden) than 200 series (Bellingham) precincts with over 100 ballots accepted. 200 series precincts are generally under reporting.  Many red and purple county precincts are reporting high numbers of votes in this first week of voting.

Below is a quick and dirty matchback report for 07.26.2019 for the Whatcom Primary. Far below find all Whatcom County precincts in numerical order with their 2018 Cantwell/Hutchison totals. The two immediate following tables give us precinct Top Performers and Least Performers to date. Get your Ballots in! And remember, this election is the start of SDR statewide ("Same Day Registration"). There are brand new laptops in the lobby of the Elections department in the County Courthouse ready to register you in person!  If you are already registered (please check) and need to change your address or need to change your registration in any way, please visit: https://voter.votewa.gov . This Monday July 29th is the online registration address update deadline.  There is a "Ballot Status" section in https://voter.votewa.gov. There, you can check to see the status of your returned ballot. Remember both remote drop boxes and vote by mail can take some time to be received by Elections.  If your ballot is challenged and for all other concerns, please visit or call Whatcom County Elections. Please Vote!!

Thursday, July 25, 2019

WM MatchBacks for 07.24.2019

Below is a quick and dirty matchback report for 07.24.2019 for the Whatcom Primary. Far below find all Whatcom County precincts in numerical order with their 2018 Cantwell/Hutchison totals. The two immediate following tables give us precinct Top Performers and Least Performers to date. Get your Ballots in! And remember, this election is the start of SDR statewide ("Same Day Registration"). There are brand new laptops in the lobby of the Elections department in the County Courthouse ready to register you in person!  If you are already registered (please check) and need to change your address or need to change your registration in any way, please visit: https://voter.votewa.gov . July 29th is the online registration address update deadline.  There is a "Ballot Status" section in https://voter.votewa.gov. There, you can check to see the status of your returned ballot. Remember both remote drop boxes and vote by mail can take some time to be received by Elections.  If your ballot is challenged and for all other concerns, please visit or call Whatcom County Elections. Please Vote!!

Sunday, July 21, 2019

Checking Precincts after the WAVOTE upgrade

If you are an auditor or election official wondering how your precincts changed between 12/31/2018 and 07/17/2019, I could have some code for you and also a potentially helpful spreadsheet accurate as of July 17, 2019.  (email me) Merging all the precincts from two different VRDBs is a bit of trick. For reference, I have included the 2018 Senate Race results for each precinct. A snapshot of all this merged data looks like this:

Friday, July 19, 2019

REMEMBER TO VOTE IN THE 2019 PRIMARY


REMEMBER TO VOTE IN THE 2019 PRIMARY
Ballots should be in the mail for Whatcom County as of 07/17/2019. This year, same day registration legislation for the August 6th primary kicks in. Still, if you did not get your ballot or if you moved and forgot to change your address at https://voter.votewa.gov , make sure to do so before July 29th.There is a continuing rollout of the new 'votewa' upgrade. At this point, call the Whatcom County Elections office if you have any problems receiving your ballot at http://www.whatcomcounty.us/1732/Current-Election . REMEMBER TO VOTE!!:
Here are more links: BTV Mayoral and Electoral Forum:
Candidate Mayoral Links for Bellingham:
Whatcom County Executive Links:
Whatcom County Election Department Links:
WA SOS Websites:

Thursday, July 18, 2019

Men out-registering Women in WA State?

Here is a first look at some point to point registration data after yesterday's VRDB drop; the first in 2 mos and 17 days.  The VRDB had net increase from 12/31/2018 to 07/17/2019 of 58,563. That increase looked liked this:

r3all[StatusCode == "A",.N]
[1] 4373910
s3all[StatusCode == "A",.N]
[1] 4432473
s3all[StatusCode == "A",.N] - r3all[StatusCode == "A",.N]
[1] 58563


Sunday, July 14, 2019

Voters Coming and Going; Why an updated voter list is so important.



Above Julie Wise, election director for Seattle, scares all the suits and most us election geeks by forcibly describing the current lack of resiliency  and preparedness of  WA State new $9.5M Voter upgrade during a recent Senate State Government, Tribal Relations & Elections Committee meeting.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Your servile young life in the rapidly gentrifying state...

'Average price of a Bellingham home sold in the past three months was $516,669, the first time that the average home price has topped $500,000. "It's unsustainable," Muljat said Thursday. "This trend cannot continue." '
Quote from the Bellinghan Herald article by Robert Mittendorf at https://www.bellinghamherald.com/news/local/article214390269.html

Perhaps the question youth really should be asking local politicians as we approach a full and contentious primary this week is: "How the heck am I ever going to own a home or afford a family in this economy?"  A number of new data points this week suggest a future of long term servitude to low wages in the face of rapidly and dangerously escalating housing prices. Home prices in Bellingham, up 14.9% since April 2017, just can't seem to slow down. Bellingham housing prices can only be described as hot.  And your wages, despite recent claims to the contrary, are nothing special!  

Wednesday, July 3, 2019

The 2019 WA Primary Vote is upon us...

Ready or not, the 2019 Primary Vote is upon us in WA! Ballots will be mailed July 17th in Whatcom County!  Your Secretary of State Kim Wyman and her election team have been working hard to bring us an updated registration and elections infrastructure. You can find all the information pertinent to this election at :


Due to the upgrade, there will many updates to county voter databases in early July.   Make sure your voter registration address is up to date for the primary! If you have any questions, don't hesitate to call your local county auditor. Here are your Whatcom County registration deadlines for the 2019 Primary Election: